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October 30, 2025 – For those of you who haven’t heard the news, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) was able to find funding through research user fees to bring back all of its staff starting this Monday (October 27) in the midst of the ongoing government shutdown. While many CMS staff were already considered excepted and were working on key policy priorities (including some regulations), now that all the CMS cooks are back in the kitchen, CMS may be able to work on even more initiatives and policy areas despite the shutdown. It is still unclear if CMS can function as it normally does, but CMS will have all its staff in place to be able to focus on the critical work that the agency does on behalf of millions of Americans.
Some key deadlines are coming up. Open enrollment for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Exchanges opens on November 1, 2025, and state applications for the Rural Health Transformation Program are due on November 5, 2025. Open enrollment for Medicare is also ongoing. Although staff working on these activities could be excepted during the shutdown, having staff in place from all CMS support functions, including budget, grants management, and communications, will help ensure a smooth rollout. There are a lot of cooks in the kitchen when it comes to operating government programs, and furloughing even some of them could impact the quality of the meal.
On the regulatory side, CMS may be able to start meaningfully working through the rules that stakeholders have been expecting. Some rules are statutorily required, and CMS has continued to work on them during the shutdown, while others are not explicitly required by law. Here are some key rules we’ve been tracking (many of which were included in the Trump administration’s spring unified agenda).
Stakeholders have been inquiring whether the rules will come out on time or be delayed because of the shutdown. While all of the rules are now with the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for review, it remains to be seen when they will be released. OMB is the last stage of the internal government clearance process, but there is no minimum or maximum amount of time that a rule can be in this stage before it is issued. Now that all of CMS is back, there could be a slightly greater chance that the rules will come out relatively on time (October 31 is a Friday and November 3 is a Monday for those of you paying attention!) However, there is also a chance that some of the rules could be delayed several days or weeks.
Regardless of when the rules are released, having all the cooks in the kitchen could allow CMS to simultaneously release fact sheets and press releases that help explain the rules as the agency typically does (it was unclear before if there would be fact sheets and press releases for these rules during the government shutdown).
These Medicare payment rules have major implications for stakeholders. As discussed in previous Regs & Eggs blog posts, CMS received thousands of comments on the PFS and OPPS proposed rules. Proposals such as the efficiency adjustment and indirect practice expense reallocations in the PFS proposed rule and the site neutral and site-neutral-lite proposals in the OPPS rule are complicated, and it’s important for all the regulatory cooks at CMS to be actively involved in reviewing the comments and shaping the final policies.
Most of the following rules are not statutorily required, so it’s unclear where they fall in the regulatory queue, whether CMS has been (or will be) working on them in any capacity during the shutdown, and when they might be released.
While it is unclear what the first model rule will propose, both the GLOBE Model and the GUARD Model may carry out the administration’s most favored nation policy. GLOBE may impact payments for Medicare Part B drugs (GLOBE for Part B) and GUARD may affect Part D drug payments (GUARD for Part D). Since they are to be proposed in rules, it is expected that the models will mandate participation in some way. However, most of the details of the models, including their scope and structure, will remain unknown until the rules are released.
CMS Innovation Center staff were not furloughed during the shutdown so they may have continued to work on the rules in the first few weeks of the shutdown.
This proposed rule would likely carry out some parts of this executive order.
These are a lot of rules to keep track of, so here is a table that lays them all out:
| Rule | Received by OMB? | Expected Release Date | 
|---|---|---|
| Statutorily Required | ||
| CY 2026 End-Stage Renal Disease Prospective Payment System final rule | Yes, on October 8, 2025 | On or around November 1, 2025 (although it could be delayed) | 
| CY 2026 Home Health Prospective Payment System final rule | Yes, on October 24, 2025 | On or around November 1, 2025 (although it could be delayed) | 
| CY 2026 Physician Fee Schedule final rule | Yes, on September 25, 2025 | On or around November 1, 2025 (although it could be delayed) | 
| CY 2026 Outpatient Prospective Payment System final rule | Yes, on October 9, 2025 | On or around November 1, 2025 (although it could be delayed) | 
| Medicare and Medicaid Programs; Repeal of Minimum Staffing Standards for Long-Term Care Facilities interim final rule | Yes, on August 22, 2025 | Unclear, but as soon as possible | 
| Medicare premium notices for CY 2026 | Yes, on October 22, 2025 | Unclear, but as soon as possible | 
| Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters for 2027 proposed rule | No | Unclear (November 2025 in unified agenda) | 
| 2027 Medicare Advantage and Part D rate notice | No | Likely February 2026 | 
| Not Statutorily Required | ||
| Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation Payment Models proposed rule | Yes, on August 19, 2025 | Unclear (October 2025 in unified agenda) | 
| GLOBE Model proposed rule | Yes, on September 25, 2025 | Unclear | 
| GUARD Model proposed rule | Yes, on August 19, 2025 | Unclear | 
| Medicaid Managed Care State Directed Payments proposed rule | Yes, on June 9, 2025 | Unclear (while there is no statutory deadline, this rule may implement a section of OBBBA, so CMS may want to release this rule as soon as possible) | 
| Medicaid Program; Prohibition on Federal Medicaid Funding for Sex Trait Modification Procedures Furnished to Children and Youth proposed rule | Yes, on July 18, 2025 | Unclear | 
| The Medicare and Medicaid Programs; Hospital Condition of Participation: Limiting Participation Based on the Performance of Sex Trait Modification Procedures on Children proposed rule | Yes, on August 7, 2025 | Unclear | 
| Transparency in Coverage proposed rule | Yes, on August 20, 2025 | Unclear (September 2025 in unified agenda) | 
| Contract Year 2027 Policy and Technical Changes to Medicare Advantage, Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit, Medicare Cost Plan, and Programs of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly Programs proposed rule | Yes, on September 4, 2025 | Unclear | 
| Ensuring Safety through Domestic Security with Made in America Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) and Essential Medicine Procurement by Medicare Providers and Suppliers pre-rulemaking notice | Yes, on September 12, 2025 | Unclear | 
| Amendments to Rules Governing Organ Procurement Organizations proposed rule | Yes, on August 21, 2025 | Unclear (September 2025 in unified agenda) | 
| IDR operations final rule | No | Unclear (November 2025 in unified agenda) | 
| Requirements Related to Advanced Explanation of Benefits and Other Provisions Under the Consolidated Appropriations Act 2021 proposed rule | No | Unclear (February 2026 in unified agenda) | 
| Interoperability Standards and Prior Authorization for Drugs proposed rule | No | Unclear (September 2025 in unified agenda) | 
All in all, rules that are statutorily required will continue to be prioritized, and CMS will try its best to get those out on time or as soon as possible. However, even with all the CMS cooks back the kitchen, the timing for all the rules, even those statutorily required, remains up in the air. Beyond CMS, other HHS cooks typically get involved in the regulatory review and clearance process, and some of these cooks have, and will continue to be, furloughed for the remainder of the government shutdown.
Until next week, this is Jeffrey saying, enjoy reading regs with your eggs.
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